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Salaries, Depth, and the 10-20-15 Rule

Happy Tuesday. Sure it's an Amundson-less Tuesday, but hey, those Amundson poems were getting tougher and tougher to write. I mean, outside of "Almonds, son," it's not a very rhymey name.  

Player Dollars (in millions)
Chris Paul 14.9
Peja Stojakovic 14.3
Emeka Okafor 11.9 + 1.25 = 13.2
David West 8.3
Trevor Ariza 6.3
Darius Songaila 4.8
Marco Belinelli 2.4
Craig Brackins 1.1
Quincy Pondexter 0.9
Aaron Gray 0.8
Marcus Thornton 0.8
Mustafa Shakur 0.8
Free Agent #3 ---
Free Agent #4 ---
Free Agent #5 ---
Hornets Total
68, 444, 938
Salary Cap
58, 044, 000
Luxury Tax
70, 307, 000

Star-divide

There's the official At the Hive payroll projection. I've got Shakur and Gray marked at the minimum, though Shakur could be left off the roster entirely, come October. As you can also see, I've added in Emeka Okafor's expected performance bonus. There are still questions on that one too- I'm not sure if the entire amount is added to the cap, but I've kept it that way for now. 

Either way, yesterday's reports indicated that New Orleans didn't want to offer Lou Amundson more than $1.9 million. Adding that to total would result in a figure dangerously close to the $70,307,000 luxury. As it stands now, the Hornets can only afford to hand out minimum deals in the absence of a future Songaila deal.

The depth chart:

C. Paul

M. Thornton

T. Ariza

D. West

E. Okafor

 

M. Belinelli

P. Stojakovic

D. Songaila

A. Gray

Mustafa Shakur

 

Q. Pondexter

C. Brackins

 

 

I still can't envision New Orleans starting the year with Shakur/Belinelli/Thornton as Chris Paul's primary backups. I guess it's possible, but it's still more likely that a player like Earl Watson is offered the minimum. The roadblock Lou Amundson might have posed to Craig Brackins' development is also pretty clear. 

Continuing with the odds and ends, I want to toss out a note about the rebounding slash system. I've been using it a lot recently, and it essentially goes thusly: Offensive Rebounding % / Defensive Rebounding % / Total Rebounding %. As we've discussed a few times, rebounding percentage (offensive, defensive, or total) is one of the most consistent player statistics in the NBA. It's different from raw rebounding in that it adjusts for pace and total available rebounds (so it can account for games where the opponent might miss a ridiculous amount of shots, creating numerous extra rebound chances). 

So, for example, Lou Amundson's slash line from last year was 13/20/17, while Darius Songaila's was 5/15/10. It's a great way of comparing rebounders, since rebounding percentage stays very consistent regardless of team role or minutes played.

I haven't sorted through the numbers to get an exact definition of league average, but we can eyeball it at 5/13/9. Keep in mind, that's league average across all positions. Power forward/Center skews to around 10/20/15. And now that I think about it, 10/20/15 is a really easy figure to remember. 

The r-slash on a couple guys we talked about yesterday and a few more (all numbers career unless stated otherwise)

Earl Barron: 10/18/14
Josh Boone: 12/20/16
Aaron Gray: 14/21/17 (18/23/20 in 24 games with New Orleans)
David West, '09-'10: 6/18/12 (14/23/18 as a rookie)
Emeka Okafor: 12/25/18 (exactly the same in '09-'10)
Chris Paul: 2/13/8
Kobe Bryant: 4/13/8
Dwight Howard: 12/29/21
Dennis Rodman, 1995: 21/39/30

Yep, that last one is real. Rodman set the single season NBA records for ORB%, DRB%, and TRB% that year. All three marks still stand today. (As an interesting aside, Rodman also posted a hilariously bad 30% turnover rate in '95). See, this is fun! 

 

Lastly, keep up the great work in the comments section. Great discussions everywhere even with the complete lack of news. Stay rhymey y'all.

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Two Contracts that Stand Out (Positively)
  • Marcus Thornton. MT at a ridiculous $0.8. Granted, he’s more of a Miller than a Jordan, if you buy the proposition that all shooting guards fall into the Miller/Jordan categorization, but what a fine Miller he’s going to be. He could eventually be a Michael Redd type fo borderline all-star. Shocking not to see him in the top-30 shooting guards as listed by Kelly Dwyer on Yahoo Bball.
  • David West at $8.3 mill. I’ve harped at times about DWest’s shortcomings on the boards (Rohan interestingly noted his mediocre r-slash numbers in the post above) and his tendency to play like a combination forward on offense, sometimes to his detriment, however, I think we got a pretty solid deal paying DW “only” $8.3 mill this year for a fairly consistent 20/7/3/1.5 player who has solid all-round game (other than his rebounidng at power forward).

by MZURK on Sep 14, 2010 7:35 AM CDT reply actions  

Both Contracts

Will either go up or disappear at the end of this season. I’m sure the Hornets will reward Thornton with a nice deal (unless he goes Carlos Boozer on us) and, unfortunately for me because I like David West, he’ll probably be gone this offseason because he may look to get paid and I don’t think the Hornets will oblige him, even if they should mostly because he’s been underpaid by them for awhile.

"You play to win the game."

by MrWayneKeller on Sep 14, 2010 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think West stays

Depending on the new CBA, I think the Hornets would probably have the inside track to resigning him, and if the average salary dips in a significant way, the market for DX will probably be rather slim.

As for Marcus, I don’t expect much of a “hometown discount,” but I think he’ll be handsomely rewarded and remain a Hornet.

by Mr. Diamond on Sep 14, 2010 6:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Forgot to mention

I think West’s deal for 2011-12 is a Player Option worth around 7.5 mil. If no other team will give him that, he might just take the money and stay.

by Mr. Diamond on Sep 14, 2010 7:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thornton

Right, only one year left for MT contract. There will be a risk after that that we overpay him. I think having a player like MT, a solid performer who is grossly underpaid, greatly helps a team. Once we have to pay him a lot more then it’s a lot more valuable.

Hopefully West will take the player option after this year. It’s not out of the realm of impossibility. If he demands $10 mill+, like Aldridge, then again, it will be a lot less cost effective.

by MZURK on Sep 16, 2010 2:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Haha

in looking over your depth chart, we need to land the slowest PG known to man to complement the rest of the 2nd team. :)

Rohan, how likely do you think/feel Monty goes with Ariza/Peja to start on the wings to have a viable 6th man on this team?

Need a fantasy fix? Come visit http://www.fantasycafe.com/ for all your basketball, baseball and football needs!

by RedHopeful on Sep 14, 2010 6:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Barron & Boone

The Killer B’s! Let’s get ’em!

by Mr. Diamond on Sep 14, 2010 6:56 PM CDT reply actions  

Nice one RedHopeful

“in looking over your depth chart, we need to land the slowest PG known to man to complement the rest of the 2nd team. :)”

awesome, hilarious, and so true

by CP3forMVP on Sep 15, 2010 8:32 PM CDT reply actions  

I still hope

They trade peja by the deadline. That will help clear the way a lil for pondexter and get some money off the books

by sd3 on Sep 17, 2010 10:25 PM CDT reply actions  

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