What Howard/Paul to the Lakers Looks Like.
First what makes me think this at all Possible:
Of the teams [Dwight] Howard is likely to consider when exercising his early-termination option after next season — sources say the Lakers, Knicks and Nets are the strong favorites — L.A. is the one with the most attractive trade assets. The massive contracts attached to the Lakers’ most desirable players also puts them in the rare position of being able to absorb either[Gilbert] Arenas or [Hedo] Turkoglu as a way to soften the blow for Orlando. [...]
"One person told me Howard wants to be a Laker. Someone else said he wants Chris Paul to join him in Orlando. Another said his top priority is to sign a maximum contract, which would make a trade (either in-season or a summer 2012 sign-and-trade) the only way for him to land in Los Angeles."
Putting this together in a trade that makes sense for every team involved? Good luck, but under a couple of admittedly unlikely scenarios there is a perfect storm that makes my intriguing headline seem a little more sensible.
Also I want to note there are things said about the reality of the Hornets that as a Hornets fan might be great to hear. Note that I think this thing going down this way is unlikely. A lot of dominoes have to fall for it to happen, so lets talk about those dominoes.
First, Chris Paul has to say he wants out of New Orleans. This isn't a huge stretch, he's done it before but as we wind down toward the end of his contract his ability to leverage that fact might increase the likelihood he could force a trade.
Second, Dwight Howard needs to want out of Orlando. I'm not sure of this yet, like at all. Howard is a unique guy, and it seems he does enjoy the pull he has in Orlando, the New Arena built for him etc. But This scenario has been speculated by more rational people than I'm sure you think me to be.
Third, The New Orleans Hornets have to be ok with a team that sells tickets but is not necessarily built to win. You're not going to get a better center cog back than Paul and since the NBA owns the Hornets I think re-building the team to a high attendance and thus high profit franchise with a payroll lower than they currently would be satisfactory for its owners(the nba.) Conspiracy theories abound, but I don't think its wrong for the NBA to make a smart business move that would 1) Make the Lakers near locks for the Finals every year(netting overall profit for the NBA) 2) improve the profitability of the team they own.
Fourth, Kobe has a no trade clause. He can Veto this trade. My bet is his pride doesn't let him. But as I said earlier, the likelihood of this happening is not large. These are chance scenarios that when applied together makes for an extremely unlikely chance.
BUT
Here's the trade that makes it all happen and keeps each franchise happy under the conditions listed above:
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=3bb5app
If you don't wanna mozy of to espn here's the trade:
Magic- Lose: Howard(Laker,) Arenas (Laker,) Bass(New Orleans)
Get: Bynum, Gasol, Fisher
Why for the Magic? This trade almost makes sense even if Howard doesn't want out. Bass goes to New Orleans since we have Gasol at the Forward. We get rid of the immovable object that is Gil's contract by packaging him with Howard and get back Bynum and Gasol. The trade generally breaks down as Gasol, Bynum and Arenas Cap relief in exchange for Howard. This to me is fair value for Howard. And the Magic would have a team that would go at least as far as the one this year did- with the added benefit of cap room once these contracts go if not extended.
New Orleans- Lose: Chis Paul(Laker,) Jarret Jack(Laker,) Emeka Okafor(Laker,)
Get: Kobe Bryant, Steve Blake, Brandon Bass, Derrick Character
Why for the Hornets? The Hornets would still have a team that sells since it has Kobe Bryant in the starting lineup. They also get Blake to come in as their starting or back up pg to soften losing Paul. Blake, Bryant, Ariza, Bass, Random Defensive Center is not built to win Championships. But it is a team built to happily allow Bryant 40 shots a night while defending well. Probably around an 8th seed, where the hornets are now, but selling way more tickets.
**Why for Kobe: Kobe can Veto this trade. But Bryant has his rings, going to a team where he can go back to being Kobe the way Derrick Rose is being Rose right now for the for bulls, for him must be somewhat appealing. Additionally I think Kobe would have enough pride(read arrogance) to think he could pull it off. For the record books, spending the last 4 seasons on a team where you are the only offensive options bodes really well for Kobe.
Lakers- Lose: Kobe Bryant, Derrick Fisher, Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum, Derek Character, Steve Blake
Get: Chris Paul, Dwight Howard, Jerret Jack, Emeka Okafor, Gilbert Arenas
Why for the Lakers? For starters, Kobe's Contract is 24 million a year. Kobe has declined a ton, despite the blathering of millions including himself that say he hasn't. At his price, I don't see how the lakers free the cap room to build a contender. He's simply not worth that amount of money to a team that is trying to build for a Championship. It works out as sending away the cost of Kobe Bryant, for the cost of Arenas and Okafor. This seems like a horrible Idea, but it is the absorption of these 2 contracts that allow the lakers to put Chris Paul and Dwight Howard on the same team. And they'll be favorites the second they are, make no mistake about it.
Addtionally, their lineup would like this:
Chris Paul/Arenas
Jarret Jack/Shannon Brown
Artest/Walton/Barnes
Odom/Okafor
Howard/Okafor/Odom
I don't consider myself an expert, but I think most people would agree that team is nearly the best defensive and offensive team in the league at the same time. Everyone in the league would once again be re-tooling to deal with the lakers, who once again are bigger than everyone else, with the best guard in the league on the wings.
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First, Chris Paul has to say he wants out of New Orleans.
Chris Paul has never said that he has ever wanted to be out of New Orleans. The only time he mentioned that being a possibility was if the team wasn’t comitted to winning. He has since said the team is committed to winning therefore he does not want out.
The New Orleans Hornets have to be ok with a team that sells tickets but is not necessarily built to win.
This makes little sense. So it’s okay to sell tickets but never actually win and compete for a championship? Every team in the league tries to build to that not build towards selling tickets.
re-building the team to a high attendance and thus high profit franchise with a payroll lower than they currently would be satisfactory for its owners
The Hornets only lost $3 million dollars this year, by no means the worst in the league, players payroll has nothing to do with it. The front office has a budget outlined and they have stuck to it.
spending the last 4 seasons on a team where you are the only offensive options bodes really well for Kobe.
That makes little to no sense. How did he win his championships? He needed other offensive options in Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and even Lamar Odom in a way. Being the only offensive option on a team, running isolations etc. is the most inefficient way to create points. The Lakers, when they go into their ISO shell with Kobe almost always seem to do worse, or less, than if they ran the triangle offense or the pick and roll.
Bryant has his rings, going to a team where he can go back to being Kobe
Kobe will never, ever, ever leave the Lakers. He is a Laker for life and going back to the team that drafted him is not even a thought at this point.
The most likely scenario is Dwight goes to New Jersey to meet up with Deron Williams, he resigns in Orlando, tries to force his way to the Lakers individually WITHOUT Chris Paul or even thinks that going to New Orleans could be an option.
The Hornets have repeatedly stated that building around Chris Paul is their priority. Paul sees that they are committed to building for winning, all they have to do is get the talent. Getting rid of Paul and bringing in Kobe would not increase ticket sales, in fact it would probably decrease them. Throwing away a talented, young point guard that has been the face of the franchise since being in New Orleans would be a terrible, dumb marketing move that would essentially kill the teams appeal within the region.
Does Paul leave? Who knows. But I think his chances of staying have increased a great deal after the playoffs and don’t be shocked if he tries to recruit Dwight Howard.
Australian Atlanta Falcons Fan EST 2003
Hey head over to SB Nation Atlanta...It's not as scary as you think...
Swarm and Sting - A Fansided New Orleans Hornets Blog
The issue is that the Hornets first priority is Profit. Fans do not make the decisions, businessmen do. In the case of the Hornets, the NBA’s businessman makes the decision. Kobe sells more tickets than Paul, and he would sell even more in a scenario he was getting 40 shots a game. From a business standpoint, you cut the costs of your worst contract in Okafor, and make more money than you did last year. Then the NBA who has control over this entire decision with Paul, can sell a profitable franchise with Kobe Bryant roster. Additionally the NBA benefits by turning its largest Market into a complete juggernaut. From a business stand point this move makes sense for the NBA. The hornets would go bankrupt AND have to be way over cap in order to build a championship- and regrettably I don’t think that happens while the NBA owns them. The next best move is to dump salary, get a ticket selling star player then sell the franchise for top Value. Again, not saying this will happen just that possibility is there. I know its not a high chance.
I say there is 4 conditions required to make it possible. Obviously if none of those 4 conditions come to pass, the trade doesn’t happen. Howard and Paul would both have to pull a ‘Melo, and honestly I doubt either one of them would. But if it does play out that way, here’s the trade that makes the Lakers happy, and gives both Orlando and New Orleans top value for their exiting stars.
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions
The assumption that “Kobe is more profitable” is a little misconstrued. First off Kobe’s contract is big, like real big so it’s not as if the Hornets are getting expiring contracts or star players on expiring contracts. Chris Paul can make this team profitable. In 2007 and 2008 the Hornets made proftis. Former Owner George Shinn said he made profits more often than he made losses (towards the end of his ownership).
Bringing in Kobe would in fact be worse. Folks in New Orleans love Paul because he’s a down to earth guy who doesn’t really fit in with the egotism and self-centered nature of most superstars. Bring in Kobe Bryant and I guarantee you fans tear up their season ticket plans and disconnect themselves from the franchise. Just because Kobe is a big spectical in LA and whenever he goes on the road, doesn’t mean that fans will embrace him if he were to go to their team.
What you are also forgetting is that the NBA is owning the team on a short term basis to move the team on to a local owner. Making sure that the franchise has done the following things is necessary before moving it on to another owner:
1. Correct financial issues with debt (they’re are well on their way to doing this)
2. Draw up a fiscally responsible budget (check)
3. Reach attendance benchmarks (check)
4. Reach season ticket holder base of 10,000 (they are just over 8000 at the moment)
5. Secure business investors and sponsors (well on their way)
6. Open TV market to entire Louisiana, Arkansas and the Mississippi.
7. Secure a long term, renewed relationship and lease with the state of Louisiana (which they are on their way to doing).
If the Hornets don’t have an owner by this time next year I’ll be very, very surprised. Gary Chouest didn’t buy the team because it was riddled with debt issues. The NBA stepped in to make things right before on selling it to Chouest and other minority owners.
If you want to see just how this team can build towards a championship (or in the very least build towards being a solid playoff team/ top 4 seed in the West by next season). Go here: http://swarmandsting.com/2011/05/07/what-the-hornets-need-to-do-to-contend/
Australian Atlanta Falcons Fan EST 2003
Hey head over to SB Nation Atlanta...It's not as scary as you think...
Swarm and Sting - A Fansided New Orleans Hornets Blog
I appreciate the post, its exactly the line a Hornets fan should take- and its reasonable.
But in no way does Kobe not sell out the Arena. So you put Kobe on a team full of cheap contracts and poof profitable franchise with the same first round exit they’ve been getting.
As has been stated by everyone in response, its not likely Kobe signs off on it, but that’s a favor for Hornets fans.
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 11:54 PM CDT up reply actions
ughhhhhh
Here we go again….
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qais_eGMnWk
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=39GH-nzrY_I&feature=relatde
You really underestimate Kobe
He’s NOT a young hotdog anymore so going back to being old Kobe makes zero sense. We all know he used to love putting up a ton of shots – every great scorer does. However, a number of things are different. First, he’s older so I bet even he knows his body wouldn’t be able to take a full season of being the guy every night. Second, he knows undoubtedly the biggest thing in the NBA is the number of rings you win. That’s where the pride is at, not whether you can prove the rest of the league wrong by doing it on your own.
The more I think about it, it’s hard to take the rest of your post seriously when your rationale regarding Kobe is just so irrational. Name me one superstar who under his own volition decided to forgo the chance for rings in the limelight of his career so that he could become a number 1 scorer on a team again.
I do think it’s funny though that it’s ok for the Hornets to ditch Okafor w/o even getting a center in return. Lol!
Maybe I do underestimate Kobe’s sense of himself. But I think shooting 40 shots a night isn’t asking a huge amount, and he’d probably be decently efficient even playing old man ball.
I think 5 rings plus leading scorer(or whatever records he could break being a shot chucker) in the books > 6 rings.
Additionally Kobe is a bit of a loose cannon, gets mad and requests to be traded sometimes, probably not this summer, but who knows. Also whose to say he kills the trade to play for a laker team that doesn’t want him?
Finally, I say in my post this is a long shot. I’m not being irrational, I admit this is unlikely chance on top of 3 other unlikely chances. I believe it as about as likely as hitting the lotto when looked through the lens of probability.
It’s a long shot scenario that is interesting to think about. Not a sure fire thing that happens, just what it would like if all 4 of those conditions I listed were met.
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 2:24 PM CDT up reply actions
and about now getting a C back.
You got bass back, Getting rid of Okafor is a blessing. His contract is extremely bloated and the Lakers taking it on is a big part of the reason the NBA would say yes to the trade. CP3> Kobe. But getting rid of Okafor’s contract and getting Kobe- the weighing table starts to shift from a business stand point.
You should be itching to get rid of Okafor like Orlando is to get rid of Arenas(which is why he is packaged with Howard to make getting Gasol and Bynum worth it.)
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions
So we get rid of our YOUNG star player
to get a middle of the pack bigman, an aging Kobe, a white boy who gets chicken pox, and a player that has bounced between the D-League and NBA and assaulted a New Orleans IHOP waitress. Run that by me again. Oh, and pass me whatever you’re smoking.
"I'm not a businessman, I'm a business, man" ~Jay-Z
CP3 is coming. Quick, hide your Howards!
by OnPointLikeCP3 on May 11, 2011 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions
I agree that CP3> Kobe.
I agree the Hornets are a better team with CP3.
Now onto the business side:
Kobe would make the Hornets more profitable than CP3, and get rid of Okafor’s contract for you. Just like Jordan was able to sell out seats for the Wizards. I don’t own the team, but if my goal was money and I owned it, I wouldn’t say no.
That’s all i’m saying. Again, none of this happens without 4 unlikely conditions coming to pass, and they all have their reasons why they might not. But if they do, no one should be shocked it plays out this way.
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 3:31 PM CDT up reply actions
David
you can’t be this serious about the whole 40 shots a night thing being enticing to Kobe!?!?
Oh, and I’m not referring you being irrational because of the liklihood of anything like this happening. Simply, the reasons you feel Kobe would look forward to doing this are mindboggling wrong.
Well there’s also the fact that I don’t think Kobe Veto’s a trade to go back to a Lakers team that wants to trade him.
by David Polega on May 11, 2011 11:49 PM CDT up reply actions
Disagree
Kobe and his veto ability are valuable because he dictates to the Lakers where he’ll go. Both parties know he’d never sign off on a deal such as the one you’ve proposed.
A fair point.
I never considered it likely, just for the parties involved(kobe aside) agreeable. I don’t pretend to know the innerworkings of kobe, its a guess. but it’s a guess for you as well.
by David Polega on May 12, 2011 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions

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