Derick E. Hingle-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire
With this past week's news of John Wall's stressed patella, the odds of recent #1 NBA draft picks succumbing to injury appear on the rise yet again.
Since 2005, a string of #1 NBA draft picks have been unable to avoid the injury bug. Andrew Bogut, Andrea Bargnani, Greg Oden, Derrick Rose, Blake Griffin, John Wall and Kyrie Irving have combined to miss a staggering 586 games (28.2%) in their short careers. For simplicity sake, this roughly works out to them playing in only 3 out of every 4 games.
According to a 20-Year History of Missed Games in the NBA article, this ratio is convincingly higher than the sum of missed games in any given season the last 20 years. Granted, it can be argued Greg Oden is responsible for a significant chunk of that so if we consider him an outlier and remove him from the equation, the remaining 6 players have missed a total of 16.3% of their games.
However, keep two things in mind. First, the article includes missed games by NBA players for any reason. This encompasses among other things: suspensions, teams tanking to improve draft position and the recent trend of coaches resting players to preserve them as much as possible for deep playoff runs.
Second, since the end of last season, this small group has already faced plenty more heartbreak. During Team USA summer competitions, Kyrie Irving broke his hand and Blake Griffin tore his meniscus. On Friday, the Wizards announced John Wall is slated to miss about 8 weeks due to a patella injury. Also, don't forget about Derrick Rose tearing his ACL in last year's playoffs; he isn't expected back until at least after the upcoming All-Star break. Consequently, it's not a stretch that this group's percentage of missed games is going to climb.
Small sample size? No doubt. However, does this make anyone feel better? It has been said some things just can't be easily explained. For instance, most have probably heard of the infamous Madden Curse. In essence, the majority of NFL players who have been depicted on the cover of a popular video game go on to suffer some sort of setback shortly thereafter in their careers.
At the Hive isn't superstitious, collectively anyway, but it would appear that Anthony Davis might benefit from carrying a rabbit's foot or finding a four leaf clover in the very near future.