A year removed from losing out on the Anthony Davis sweepstakes, the Bobcats have a 19.9% chance of getting this year's first overall pick.
There doesn't seem to be a consensus on which prospect should be taken with the first overall pick, but being able to choose before anyone else is a welcome advantage. Nerlens Noel was expected to be taken with the first overall pick, but teams are wary of his health after he tore his ACL in February. This allowed prospects like Ben McLemore, Anthony Bennett, and Otto Porter to garner some much-needed attention and keep the Draft interesting.
The Bobcats cannot fall lower than the fifth overall pick and are most likely to receive the fourth overall pick with odds of 31.9%. Still, the chances of them missing a top-three pick are slim are about 45%. That may seem scary, but I wouldn't worry too much.
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